Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad

PhD candidate Expected June 2027

Statistical methods for decision-making under uncertainty

My research connects statistics and mechanism design to understand how information can be elicited and used to guide decisions, with applications to academic markets, fairness in resource allocation, and uncertainty reporting by large language models.

Advised by Xiaowu Dai · SCALE Lab · UCLA Statistics & Data Science

Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad
amofrad@ucla.edu

Research

Selected papers & manuscripts

Information, incentives, and decisions.

Fairness
& resource allocation

Published · 2026

A Data Envelopment Analysis Approach for Assessing Fairness in Resource Allocation: Application to Kidney Exchange Programs

Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad and Xiaowu Dai

The Annals of Applied Statistics, 20(1):385–407, 2026

Fairness in kidney exchange involves waiting time, access to donor organs, and transplant outcomes. We develop a conditional data envelopment analysis framework to evaluate these dimensions together, with conformal prediction to quantify uncertainty. An analysis of U.S. transplant data identifies disparities across ethnic groups.

Market design
& matching

Preprint · 2026

A Statistical Market-Design Framework for Academic Job Markets

Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad, Xiaowu Dai, and Xuming He

Departments allocate interviews with limited information about candidates’ interest. We combine structured preference signals with confidence-calibrated statistical ranking to guide interview selection. The framework studies incentives for truthful participation and improves matching outcomes in simulations informed by U.S. statistics departments.

Mechanism design
& LLM uncertainty

Submitted · 2026

Beyond a Single Answer: Proper Scoring of LLM Uncertainty

Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad, Xiaowu Dai, and Xuming He

A single answer can hide a language model’s uncertainty over alternatives. We study how proper scoring rules can elicit probability reports across plausible answers, and how those reports can support decisions under uncertainty.

Teaching & mentoring

From statistical foundations to practice

Teaching at UCLA

Teaching Assistant · 2023–present

I have taught as a TA across undergraduate and graduate courses in statistical theory, regression, computing, Monte Carlo methods, consulting, and large language models.

More on teaching & mentoring →

Mentoring

I currently mentor one master’s student in Statistics and two undergraduates in Computer Science and Statistics and Data Science. I also served as a mentor for ASA DataFest at UCLA from 2023 to 2026.

Academic activity

Talks, posters & service

Full CV

Selected presentations

  1. Upcoming

    IMS International Conference on Statistics and Data Science

    Beyond a Single Answer: Proper Scoring of LLM Uncertainty

  2. Upcoming

    Conference on Statistical Foundations of AI

    Poster · Beyond a Single Answer: Proper Scoring of LLM Uncertainty

  3. StatsFest, UCLA

    Poster · Beyond a Single Answer: Proper Scoring of LLM Uncertainty

  4. American Statistical Association

    Research presentation to leadership · A Statistical Market-Design Framework for Academic Job Markets

  5. Statistics Student Seminar & Social, UCLA

    Talk · A Statistical Market-Design Framework for Academic Job Markets